Saturday, September 02, 2006

2006 National Football League Preview

AFC East
1. New England Patriots
What I like: The Patriots have arguably the strongest defensive line in the conference and, with the addition of Laurence Maroney, they will have a dual threat running game that Tom Brady has never enjoyed. When provided with a great running game, Brady will have open passing lanes like he has never seen. The lack of great receivers has never hurt Tom before and I can’t see it happening now.
Biggest Question: Does the aging linebacking core led by Tedy Bruschi have enough in them to last the season?
Prediction: Brady and Belichick lead the Patriots to another AFC East title and should grab one of the first round byes.

2. Miami Dolphins
What I like: The addition of Daunte Culpepper to Coach Nick Saban’s offense should turn a major weakness into a huge strength. Ronnie Brown also gets his first crack as the lead running back for an entire season. Saban is also a disciple of Belichick so you know his team will never hurt itself.
Biggest Question: The Miami secondary has gone from a strength to a huge weakness; can they overcome the departures of Patrick Surtain and Sam Madison over the past two off seasons?
Prediction: The Dolphins will compete for a wild card spot; however, their weak secondary and aging veterans on defense will come up just short this season.

3. Buffalo Bills
What I like: J. P. Losman has looked like a new man this preseason and has a chance to lead this up and coming offense with young stars such as Willis McGahee and Lee Evans. Buffalo also has solid defense led by returning start Takeo Spikes. Spikes is coming off a major knee injury but has looked solid this preseason and poised to wreak havoc on the rest of the AFC East.
Biggest Question: Can Losman carry over his preseason play the whole regular season?
Prediction: I expect an up and down season for the Buffalo Bills, but they should finish with a .500 record this season though.

4. New York Jets
What I like: The addition of former Patriots defensive coordinator Eric Mangini as head coach is a great step in the right direction. The Jets also started their rebuilding by drafting two potential stud offensive linemen in D’Brickashaw Ferguson and Nick Mangold in the first round.
Biggest Question: How will the Jets score?
Prediction: New York will play hard for Mangini, but the Jets look like the leading candidate for the top pick in next year’s draft.

AFC North
1. Cincinnati Bengals

What I like: Carson Palmer looked great in the third preseason game which has to be a huge relief for Bengals fans. Cincinnati possesses great depth on in the running game with Rudi Johnson and Chris Perry leading the attack. The Bengals also brought in run stopper Sam Adams to anchor the middle of their defensive line.
Biggest Question: Will the very disturbing trend of bad behavior by the young Bengal players carry over to the field?
Prediction: Carson Palmer and the Johnson boys, Chad and Rudi, dominate their opponents relentlessly on offense to lead the Bengals to back-to-back division titles.

2. Baltimore Ravens
What I like: Ever since the Ravens let Trent Dilfer go following their 2000 Super Bowl Championship, they have really been struggling to find a replacement. The answer finally arrived this off-season with the addition of former MVP Steve McNair. Ed Reed and Ray Lewis will once again lead a hard-nosed defensive attack.
Biggest Question: Can McNair stay healthy for the entire 16-game season?
Prediction: I look for the Ravens to be in a battle for one of the wild card spots, and if McNair can stay healthy, then Baltimore returns to the playoffs.

3. Pittsburgh Steelers
What I like: The defending champions still have their superstars in Ben Roethlisberger, Hines Ward and Troy Polamalu leading their team. The Steelers also have a rare benefit in today’s NFL - the continuity of the same head coach for fifteen seasons.
Biggest Question: Can the Steelers overcome the losses of Jerome Bettis and Antwaan Randle El to their offense?
Prediction: After a postseason where every break went Pittsburgh’s way, the Steelers will struggle in their attempt to defend their crown and miss out on the playoffs.

4. Cleveland Browns
What I like: Romeo Crennel brought in a lot of veteran leaders in linebacker Willie McGinest, wide receiver Joe Jurevicius and defensive tackle Ted Washington. Young stars Kellen Winslow and Braylon Edwards have finally recovered from a series of serious injuries.
Biggest Question: Does young quarterback Charlie Frye have the ability to lead the Browns in what looks to be a very tough division?
Prediction: The Browns look on their way towards contention and should finish around 7-9 this season.

AFC South
1. Indianapolis Colts
What I like: Anytime you have Peyton Manning, Marvin Harrison and Reggie Wayne, you know that the offense will be marching up and down the field. The Colts also brought in Adam Vinatieri, who is arguably the greatest clutch kicker in NFL history. Vinatieri’s addition also weakens their biggest nemesis in the New England Patriots.
Biggest Question: Can the duo of Joseph Addai and Dominic Rhodes come close to matching the production of Edgerrin James?
Prediction: The Colts should once again run away with the AFC South. I question, however, whether their defense or running game is strong enough to reach that ever-eluding Super Bowl.

2. Jacksonville Jaguars
What I like: Byron Leftwich and his young receivers Matt Jones, Reggie Williams and Ernest Wilford lead a passing game built on size and power. The Jaguars also have a dominant defensive line lead by studs Marcus Stroud and John Henderson.
Biggest Question: Can Fred Taylor last an entire season absorbing the pounding of being the every down back after the loss of back-up Greg Jones?
Prediction: After making the playoffs last year, the Jaguars will once again battle for a wild card spotbut the running game will not be strong enough to keep them in the fight to the end.

3. Houston Texans
What I like: Gary Kubiak takes over the head coaching reins after the Dom Capers era finally reached its end. My sources have indicated a much-improved performance so far out of David Carr. If the offensive line can keep Carr upright for an extended amount of time, then I expect big numbers through the air with his receiving tandem of Andre Johnson and Eric Moulds.
Biggest Question: Domanick Davis’ future looks highly doubtful due to a painful knee injury; will the Texans be able to provide enough of a ground game to keep teams honest?
Prediction: Coach Kubiak straightens the offense out enough to provide Houston fans with a reason for optimism in the future.

4. Tennessee Titans
What I like: The Titans added a ton of offensive talent this off-season to a team that is slowly trying to bounce back from salary cap hell. They added receiver David Givens, center Kevin Mawae and two highly regarded rookies in quarterback Vince Young and controversial halfback LenDale White. Tennessee also is coached by one of the most overlooked great coaches in the league in Jeff Fisher.
Biggest Question: After losing their team leader and former MVP Steve McNair, will career backup Billy Volek or Kerry Collins be able to lead the team?
Prediction: I think the Titans will be more competitive this season, but, unfortunately, the results will not come in the win-loss column.

AFC West
1. San Diego Chargers

What I like: The Chargers are loaded for what should be a return to the top of the AFC West. When you have the best running back in the league in LaDainian Tomlinson and the top tight end in Antonio Gates, you have the chance to put a ton of points on the board. While Philip Rivers may be taking over the starting quarterback reins for first time, I still expect a solid, if not spectacular, season from him. The Chargers also have what might be the most dominant run defense in the league along with an improving defensive backfield with young members who are beginning to get it.
Biggest Question: Is Rivers mentally ready to lead this team to the top of the AFC?
Prediction: Marty Schottenheimer takes enough pressure off Rivers by running the ball with LT and company, which will enable the young quarterback to lead the Chargers to the top of the AFC West.

2. Denver Broncos
What I like: The Broncos have one of the most complete rosters in the entire NFL this season. The pass rush greatly improved last season, which works well with their fast linebacker corps. Denver always has the most feared offensive line in the league, though maybe not the most talented, but they are the line no defensive lineman wants to play against. The addition of Javon Walker gives Rod Smith his most talented partner since Ed McCaffrey.
Biggest Question: Can Mike Shanahan turn another unknown running back into a 1000-yard stud?
Prediction: Jake Plummer is forced to gamble more this year with a weakened running game, and this prevents Denver from winning the division. They will, however, have enough talent to secure a wild card spot.

3. Oakland Raiders
What I like: Art Shell takes over a job he never should have lost in the first place and gives the Raiders the tough leadership they have surely been lacking. Oakland also has plenty of skill players in place with veterans such as Randy Moss, Jerry Porter and Lamont Jordan leading the offensive attack.
Biggest Question: The Raiders have plenty of talent on offense, but the big question is will they stop anyone on defense in what promises to be a high scoring division?
Prediction: Having Art Shell in place leads the Raiders out of the basement, but having Aaron Brooks leading your offense should be a frightening thought for the fans in the Black Hole. Oakland fans should be satisfied with a third place finish.

4. Kansas City Chiefs
What I like: The Chiefs still have plenty of skill players on offense with Trent Green, Tony Gonzalez and Larry Johnson leading the way. Kansas City also boosted their defense with an aging, yet still talented, cornerback in Ty Law.
Biggest Question: How badly does the loss of offensive coordinator Al Saunders hurt the Chiefs?
Prediction: Herm Edwards’ poor coaching hampers the talents of this high-powered offensive team to the point that they fall into last place in the AFC West.

NFC East
1. Dallas Cowboys
What I like: The Cowboys might have the most talented team in the NFC. If Drew Bledsoe is provided the time to reach receivers Terry Glenn and Terrell Owens and tight end Jason Witten, the ‘Boys should score a ton of points. Dallas is also extremely deep at the linebacker position and in the secondary with up-and-coming stars such as DeMarcus Ware, Roy Williams and Bobby Carpenter.
Biggest Question: Can Julius Jones and Marion Barber provide coach Parcells with the necessary running game he covets?
Prediction: The Cowboys’ talent is just too much for their fellow NFC East counterparts to overcome in what will be a tremendous divisional battle.

2. New York Giants
What I like: Eli Manning should have a lot of weapons at his disposal with Plaxico Burress, Amani Toomer, Jeremey Shockey and Tiki Barber with which to work. The Giants also have what looks to be the best pass rush in the league, led by defensive ends Michael Strahan and Osi Umenyiora. The Giants also bolstered their cornerback corps with former All-Pro Sam Madison joining via free agency.
Biggest Question: Has Eli Manning improved enough to avoid making the costly mistakes that lead to 19 turnovers on his part last season?
Prediction: The Giants will grab a wild card spot after a dog fight with the Washington Redskins.

3. Washington Redskins
What I like: The Redskins return almost the entire defense that was one of the stingiest in the league. Washington also hired Al Saunders away from the Chiefs and rewarded him with wide receivers Antwaan Randle El and Brandon Lloyd to team up with speedster Santana Moss. The Skins also have one of the NFL’s best running backs in Clinton Portis, who is coming off a 1,500-yard season.
Biggest Question: Does Mark Brunell have enough left in the tank to lead Washington back to the playoffs or will youngster Jason Campbell be called upon to lead the team?
Prediction: Brunell will not be able to lead the ‘Skins through an entire season and Campbell’s inexperience will keep them out of a playoff spot.

4. Philadelphia Eagles
What I like: As usual, Andy Reid has built incredible line depth on both the offensive and defensive ends. The Eagles also have one of the most explosive backs in Brian Westbrook when he is healthy. Whenever you have Donovan McNabb leading your team, you know you will be competitive.
Biggest Question: Can Westbrook stay healthy enough to take the pressure off of McNabb?
Prediction: A mediocre receiving corps along with an average secondary proves too much for the Eagles to overcome in what is easily the top division in football.

NFC North

1. Chicago Bears

What I like: The Bears are, again, loaded on defense, led by Pro Bowlers Brian Urlacher, Lance Briggs, Nathan Vasher and Mike Brown. Chicago also has what could be the top running back duo in the league if Thomas Jones and Cedric Benson can both stay healthy and keep their egos aside for the betterment of the team.
Biggest Question: Do the Bears have enough of a passing attack to keep teams from stuffing the box against them?
Prediction: Chicago will cruise to one of the top two spots in the NFC in what looks like a very weak NFC North.

2. Detroit Lions
What I like: Rod Marinelli brings toughness to a defense that the Lions have sorely been lacking. He is also smart enough to hand over the offensive reins to Mike Martz. Martz should be able to get the most out of underachieving receivers Mike and Roy Williams as well as further develop up-and-coming star running back Kevin Jones.
Biggest Question: Does Jon Kitna have the talent to help the Lions to a wild card spot?
Prediction: The Lions fall short of the playoffs, but finish above .500 for the first time since the 2000 season.

3 Minnesota Vikings
What I like: After years of having a defense that dragged down their offense, the Vikings have finally loaded up on that side of the ball. Minnesota has possibly the top secondary in the league with Fred Smoot, Antoine Winfield, Darren Sharper and Dwight Smith leading the way. The Vikings also brought in Chester Taylor and Tony Richardson to lead what should be a very powerful running attack. Furthermore, Minnesota signed the top guard in the league away from the Seattle Seahawks in Steve Hutchinson.
Biggest Question: Do the Vikings have the receivers to help an aging Brad Johnson succeed?
Prediction: The Vikings lack of receivers will hamper Brad Johnson too much for Minnesota to see the playoffs this season. The Vikings’ struggles will lead to fans seeing rookie quarterback Tavaris Jackson getting a few starts by the season’s end.

4. Green Bay Packers
What I like: The Packers made a lot of additions on the defensive side of the ball which can only be improvements after last season’s dismal showing. Green Bay drafted potential Defensive Rookie of the Year in Ohio State University linebacker A. J. Hawk and also signed former Heisman Trophy winner Charles Woodson to team up with Al Harris to form a very solid cornerback tandem. The one positive Green Bay may have on the offensive side of the ball is that all of the injuries to their running backs last season should result in increased depth behind Ahman Green.
Biggest Question: Can this young and inexperienced offensive line give Brett Favre the time he needs to find open receivers?
Prediction: The Packers will struggle to move the ball behind a very young line and even if they can protect Favre, the question of who will catch the ball is always there. It will be another dismal season in Green Bay.

NFC South
1. Carolina Panthers
What I like: Carolina looks to be loaded on both sides of the ball this season. Jake Delhomme has turned into one of the best quarterbacks in the league and, for the first time since Mushin Muhammad departed for Chicago, he has a second receiver to catch the ball. Keyshawn Johnson has joined the Panthers as the new tag team partner for Steve Smith. This duo is going to cause nightmares for opposing secondaries. The Panthers also have possibly the strongest defensive line in the NFC with Kris Jenkins and Julius Peppers leading the way.
Biggest Question: Can the John Fox get the consistent running game he loves out of injury prone DeShaun Foster and rookie DeAngelo Williams?
Prediction: Carolina’s experience gives them the division title over the young Buccaneers offense.

2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
What I like: Tampa Bay spent a lot of their off-season bringing in new offensive lineman in hopes of finally giving their young but extremely gifted backfield some time. The Buccaneers are loaded with young weapons on offense with Chris Simms, Carnell “Cadillac” Williams and Michael Clayton joining veterans Joey Galloway and Mike Alstott. Even with these young emerging stars, the Bucs bread and butter remains their dominating defense loaded with veterans like Derrick Brooks, Ronde Barber and Simeon Rice
Biggest Question: Is Simms mature enough to lead Tampa Bay back to the championship level?
Prediction: Tampa Bay will grab a wild card spot in what looks to be a stepping stone year towards another title.

3. Atlanta Falcons
What I like: The Falcons boosted what was an extremely poor defensive line with the additions of John Abraham and Grady Jackson. Atlanta also possess one of the strongest running games in the league led by underrated Warrick Dunn and the extremely dangerous Michael Vick. The Falcons also have one of the most talented tight ends in the league in Alge Crumpler. Crumpler always seems to be open and he is about the only receiver that Vick seems to consistently find.
Biggest Question: Does Vick finally mature into a more accurate passer or is this the beginning of the end for his quarterbacking duties in Atlanta?
Prediction: The Falcons are just too dependent on the running game to compete with Carolina and Tampa Bay. Vick will continue to struggle in the West Coast passing game.

4. New Orleans Saints
What I like: The Saints might have just gotten the most exciting running back to enter the NFL since Barry Sanders. Reggie Bush joins Deuce McAllister in what should be the most lethal backfield the league has seen in years. The Saints brought in former San Diego Chargers Pro Bowl quarterback Drew Brees to lead the offense. The last addition for New Orleans is new head coach Sean Payton; he should bring a much needed “tough love” approach to a perennially struggling franchise.
Biggest Question: Can the Saints stop anyone in what should be an extremely high scoring division?
Prediction: New Orleans will score a ton of points and might be the most exciting team to watch in the NFC, but, unfortunately, they will give up way too many points to put together a winning season.

NFC West
1. Seattle Seahawks
What I like: The defending NFC Champion Seahawks look poised to return to the Super Bowl. Seattle has a tremendous offense led by quarterback Matt Hasselback, defending MVP Shaun Alexander and a solid wide receiver corps made up of Darrell Jackson and Nate Burleson. The Seahawks also have developed a young and exciting defense made up of Grant Winstrom, Julian Peterson, Lofa Tatupa and Marcus Trufant.
Biggest Question: Can all of the Seahawks repeat their career year performances?
Prediction: The Seahawks have a huge advantage over their fellow NFC contenders in that their division is extremely weak. This will allow the ‘Hawks to gain home field advantage throughout the playoffs.

2. Arizona Cardinals
What I like: Arizona finally added the running game they have been missing for as long as the franchise has been in existence. Edgerrin James brings his offensive skills to the desert to help Kurt Warner and company. The Cardinals also posses what is unquestionably the top young wide receiver duo in the league with stars Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin. If the young Cardinals line can give Warner enough time to find these receivers, then I expect Arizona to put on a show in their brand new stadium.
Biggest Question: Do the Cardinals have enough skill on defense to consistently win?
Prediction: The Cardinals will finally get back over .500 for the first time since 1998 but are still one year away from the playoffs.

3. St. Louis Rams
What I like: The Rams still have plenty of talent on offense with a highly skilled receiving trio of Torry Holt, Kevin Curtis and Isaac Bruce. New coach Scott Linehan has promised a more balance offense this year using the skills of hard-nosed running back Steven Jackson much more then Mike Martz did. St. Louis also has a steady quarterback leading them in the always-consistent Marc Bulger.
Biggest Question: This seems like a broken record in St. Louis, but can they stop anyone on defense and special teams?
Prediction: The Rams will finally balance out their offense, which should keep Bulger upright more often. Even with the offense in place, they will have trouble slowing down their opponents and this will keep them out of postseason contention.

4. San Francisco 49ers
What I like: San Francisco brought in some offensive talent to help move the ball this year. Rookie Vernon Davis looks like he could join the likes of Antonio Gates and Tony Gonzalez in the upper echelon of tight ends. The Niners are counting on offensive coordinator Norv Turner to help develop second-year quarterback Alex Smith. So far it looks promising for Smith; he has really shown some consistency this preseason.
Biggest Question: Will the young 49ers consistently play well enough to win games?
Prediction: It will be another long season in San Francisco, but the 49ers future is finally looking brighter.

Playoff Prediction
AFC:
Division Winners:

New England Patriots
Cincinnati Bengals
Indianapolis Colts
San Diego Chargers

Wild Cards:
Baltimore Ravens
Denver Broncos

NFC:
Division Winners:
Dallas Cowboys
Chicago Bears
Carolina Panthers
Seattle Seahawks

Wild Cards:
New York Giants
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

AFC Championship Game
New England Patriots over Cincinnati Bengals

NFC Championship Game
Dallas Cowboys over Seattle Seahawks

Super Bowl
New England Patriots over Dallas Cowboys

1 Comments:

Blogger Kevin said...

Cool site, and actually I agree with you on just about everything you say for the regular season (except the Ravens being good). But the Pats don't have enough defense to make a deep playoff run - they were one of the worst teams against the pass last year and haven't really gotten any better.

6:17 PM  

Post a Comment

<< Home